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They Laughed at Galileo Too
Dean Radin knows that parapsychology is hardly the most credible
field of science. That doesn’t stop him from believing he can
turn on a switch with his mind.
By Chip Brown
New York Times Magazine
August 11, 1996
It was data that pushed Dean Radin to the fringe of science, and it
is data that keep him there, out on the edge, in that hard country
where researchers in less controversial fields will often give him
the Look. The Look is delivered by other scientists and fellow rationalists
and even his ophthalmologist cousin, Barry, who bug one eye and clamp
the other and twist their lips around as if trying to decide, in light
of his data, whether to rethink space, time and causality or to get
someone from the dean’s office to verify his Ph.D. (University
of Illinois, 1979, educational psychology.)
AS the director of the Consciousness Research Lab at the University
of Nevada at Las Vegas, Radin readily concedes that there are easier
courses than having to steer between the die-hard skeptics who lump
him in with astrologers and alchemists and the Madame Zodiac true
believers who think that every bent spoon and levitated table is
proof of the mind’s agency in the material world. Once, a
psychiatrist whom Radin was dating brought him to a party of academics.
When she made the introductions, she sounded like a curator with
a rare insect specimen: “This is my friend Dean – he’s
a parapsychologist!”
There are about 40 of these exotic creatures doing research in
the world. Of those, Radin may be the most creative; certainly no
one is running harder. He has published 165 papers, 44 in peer-reviewed
journals and conference proceedings, and has 16 more in the mill.
He has worked almost everywhere a parapsychologist can collect a
paycheck. He spent six years doing industrial research at AT&T
Bell Laboratories and four at G.T.E. He had a parapsychology fellowship
at the University of Edinburgh and did stints at the Princeton Engineering
Anomalies Research (PEAR) lab and at S.R.I. International, an institute
in Menlo Park, Calif., where he took part in classified military
research.He has served twice as president of the Parapsychology
Association.
Radin and his colleagues, citizens of the scientific margin, console
themselves with the stories of scientists who were ridiculed for
theories that turned out to be right – like Galileo, who was
forced to recant his support of the Copernican view that the Earth
moved around the sun, or the Hungarian doctor Ignaz Philipp Semmelweis,
who, in the 19th century, had the bizarre idea that doctors should
wash their hands. Still, any mentor will tell you to get tenure
first, or to keep a day job. In the lab, even if you get significant
results, the effects often seem so weak that audiences just shrug
and say, “So what?” And every day you march off into
the mind-body problem, the swamp that most sensible scientists avoid
lest they get mired in the epistemological muck familiar to any
sophomore who has ever stayed up too late, drinking bad coffee and
brooding over the graffiti in the philosophy department bathroom:
“What is mind? Never matter. What is matter? Never mind.”
For more than half a century, a debate has raged among the scientific
classes over the existence of psychic phenomena. Is there such a
thing as mind over matter? Can energy or information be transferred
across space and time by some mysterious process that on the face
of it seems to confound the principles of biology and physics? Most
scientists believe the answer is no – no, no, no, a thousand
times no.
An adamant minority, parapsychologists point to scientifically
stringent psychical research and say that the data speak for themselves,
and then the wonder how a professional guild that subscribes to
pieties about open-mindedness can behave like the clerics who wouldn’t
peek into Galileo’s telescope.
For the most part, the debate between parapsychology, or psi, and
the rest of science has been left to simmer in obscure journals
and books. It occasionally surfaces in a conference, like the one
in April at the University of Arizona at Tucson, “Toward a
Science of Consciousness,” which was attended by more than
1,000 people, including mainstream physicists, neuroscientists,
philosophers, cognitive psychologists and medical researchers. The
program committee had agreed to include a session on parapsychology
as long as a skeptic – in this case, Susan Blackmore, a psychologist
from the University of the West of England – was part of the
package. One of the three people carrying the standard for parapsychology
was Roger Nelson, a psychologist at the P.E.A.R. lab who was presenting
work he had published with Dean Radin.
That the suasions of rhetoric are part of making converts is something
of a dirty secret in science, which has traditionally emphasized
drama-free writing and monochromatic presentation on the ground
that arguments should be won on data, not style. Radin, at one time
a professional violinist, is very much at home on the stage. But
today he took a seat in the audience, agreeing that it would be
strategic, in this credential-conscious forum, to let his colleague
from Princeton have the spotlight. Nelson laid out the work he and
Radin had done – a series of experiments in which people tried
to concentrate their thoughts to influence the output of a random-number
generator, a standard tool in psychical research. But Nelson’s
talents in the lab notwithstanding, his case for psi suffered for
want of some old-fashioned showmanship.
The contrast was all the more striking when Blackmore offered her
dissent. A lively, articulate speaker with a lemony English accent,
she has long been something of a thorn in the side of parapsychology.
She did her own psychical research for 20 years, but, unlike Radin
and other researchers who have what are known as “golden hands,”
Blackmore never produced what she considered evidence of psi functioning;
having caught no fish in the river, she concluded that the river
had no fish. Her apostasy included a dramatic defection to the Committee
for the Scientific Claims for the Paranormal, a religiously rational
group of skeptics.
AS Blackmore paced the stage, chopping the air with her hands,
the audience awoke. Are there psi phenomena? She asked. Probably
not. Do they tell us anything about consciousness? In her opinion,
no. She ridiculed the notion that some people have golden hands
and that others have personalities that somehow discourage the phenomena.
“My experience,” Blackmore said, “Has been that
when I looked in detail to some claim, I have always come to the
conclusion that there was not any psychic phenomena. But what if
I’m wrong? What if there are? Would that tell us something
interesting about consciousness? I’m not sure.”
Parapsychologists, Blackmore said, are going in the opposite direction
of neuroscientists. As she noted in the article from which her talk
was drawn: “The more we look into the workings of the brain,
the less it looks like a machine run by a conscious self…
Indeed, the brain seems to be a machine that runs itself very well
and produces an illusion that someone is in charge.”
While Blackmore spoke, Radin was working up a slow boil. He annotated
a copy of her article, scribbling in the margin: This is nonsensical…
Her term, not ours… Misinterpretation of mystical view…
i.e., Sue is a zombie.
“I’m always upset when she talks,” he said afterward.
“Her theatrical method is much more compelling than most talks
about data by parapsychologists. The only thing we can do is demonstrate
correlations. Something is going on in the head that is affecting
something in the world.”
At 44, with a small, thin frame, watchful brown eyes, a severely
receded hairline and a tidy mustache, Radin is a mix of curiosity,
scholarship, technical expertise and sly wit. The day we met, he
described the unforeseen benefit of using the phone in academia
when your first name is Dean – who is going to put Dean Radin
on hold?
After the conference, when he had calmed down a bit, he tried to
delineate the difficulties inherent in a field that challenges the
assumptions of mainstream thought. “Science is conservative,”
he said. “People have these strange experiences. You can throw
out the ones that might occur by chance, the subjective mistakes,
but there are always a residue left over. What do you do about those?
Scientists and skeptics would ignore them. That doesn’t mean
they go away. These phenomena suggest that there are gaps in the
way we know the world. Of course, those gaps are closely related
to religion and mysticism, and that’s why scientists avoid
them. Their assumption is that theology will take care of them,
and that’s faith, and Q.E.D. faith is not science.
“I try not to be absolutist about anything. For some things,
the common-sense view is adequate. For demonstrating gravity or
building a house or explaining an internal combustion engine, you
don’t need a more complicated way of describing reality. For
other realms, the existing techniques fail and fail miserably. For
some kinds of phenomena, a post-modern view is necessary. Some areas
of science, like the shape of a cloud, are extremely difficult problems
that were thought to be unsolvable until chaos theory came along.
In some ways, the proponent-skeptic debate is a red herring. I believe
in my data – what am I supposed to do, deny it? That would
be pathological.”
The past dozen years have been especially trying for parapsychologists.
The modern era of psi research got off to a bracing start in the
1960’s with the dream telepathy work of the psychiatrist Montague
Ullman and with experiments using a random-number generator developed
by Helmut Schmidt, a physicist at Boeing. But by the mid-1980’s,
financing for psi research began to dry up, and cheating scandals
rocked the field. The fierce criticism of psi research methods did
help parapsychologists get their house in order. Procedures were
refined, new experiments were devised and new data were continuously
harvested. What really gave parapsychologists confidence was the
introduction of meta-analysis, a statistical technique common in
medicine and the behavioral sciences in which the results from many
different experiments are combined and analyzed as a group. This
gives investigators insights into broader patterns and provides
a way of assessing the overall reliability of data.
For all of its usefulness, meta-analysis has hardly resolved the
debate. Last November, the chronic controversy burst into public
view when the C.I.A. announced that for two decades the military
had been conducting exercises in “remote viewing,” the
modern term for clairvoyance. The project, “Star Gate,”
cost more than $20 million, and some 1,200 psychic tasks were carried
out: psychical researchers sitting in California described the layout
of buildings at a Soviet weapons factory and gave precise coordinates
for aircraft lost in Africa.
Typically, two consultants hired to evaluate the C.I.A.’s
data came to opposite conclusions. “Using the standards applied
to any other area of science,” said one, “the case for
psychic functioning has been scientifically proven.” Ray Hyman,
the dean of psi skeptics, conceded that “the case for psychic
functioning seems better than it ever has been,” but argued
that “inexplicable statistical departures from chance, however,
are a far cry from compelling evidence of anomalous cognition.”
So it goes. “There are four stages of adopting new ideas,”
Radin mused. “The first is, ‘It’s impossible.’
The second is, ‘Maybe it’s possible, but it’s
weak and uninteresting.’ The third is, ‘It is true and
I told you so.’ And the fourth is, ‘I thought of it
first.’ I believe an informed analysis over the years will
show that parapsychology was stuck in stage 1 for decades. However,
because of the weight of the data, around 1985 we began to move
in to stage 2. Now we are firmly in to stage 2. I think around the
year 2000 we will begin to move into stage 3, and maybe a few years
later be firmly there. Stage 4 is inevitable.”
While academics continue to skirmish about the meaning and authenticity
of psi phenomena, polls say the horse is already out of the barn.
Nearly half of Americans believe in ESP; 145 million think they’ve
had a psychic experience. It’s hard to know what to make of
these reports in a credulous, God-fearing country up to its neck
in angels and alien abductions. Hard-headed psi researchers know
too well how easily magical-seeming experiences can have mundane
explanations. And in an age when the tide of faddish belief seems
to be running in full flood, all psychic claims can seem conspicuously
wet.
The week after the conference in Tucson, I flew up to Las Vegas
to spend a few days with Radin at his lab on the U.N.L.V. campus.
I found him in his office, straightening a line of rubber dinosaurs
on the windowsill and puzzling over an interview he had given to
an English science journalist who had described one of Radin’s
ideas - a switch that could be turned on with only the mind –
as “wacky.”
The idea of a psychic switch came to him 11 years ago. He is now
testing a prototype; theoretically, it could end up someplace like
NASA, helping ground controllers re-establish telemetry links with
wayward satellites. “You’re wacky before you succeed,”
he said. “Afterward, you’re a genius.”
Radin is careful in describing his work to visitors. “I try
to present what we do without the sensitive terms and metaphysics,”
he said. “I emphasize that what we do is science. There’s
nothing incompatible between being a proper scientist and exploring
anything you can imagine.”
But why should anyone care about something that may not exist,
that at times seems like another synonym for God? The short answer
– and this is inevitably an article of faith on the part of
Radin and all parapsychologists – is that psychical phenomena
seem to extend what we can know about ourselves, our capabilities,
what Radin calls “our deep interconnectedness.” Psi
phenomena imply that our notions of singularity and separation are
blinders that keep us from seeing the extent to which we embody
some deeper reality, the underlying unity celebrated by mystics
and saints and sundry enchanted screwballs.
Radin considers the ability to have a psychical experience a given
– as a largely unconscious sensitivity or faculty that can
be influenced by variables ranging from temperature and geomagnetic
activity to beliefs and personality type. In one recent experiment,
he delved into the phenomenon of remote healing, He had subjects
make dolls in their likenesses out of Play-Doh and snippets of hair
and other personal effects. He found that a “patients”
blood flow and electrodermal activity increased during those periods
when a “healer” in a room 100 yards away massages the
patient’s doll.
Another experiment involved a series of “mass consciousness”
studies designed to test the idea that when millions of people are
focused on the same event they can affect physical systems. Radin
monitored the fluctuations of random-number generators during climactic
moments in the broadcasts of the Academy Awards and the O.J. Simpson
trial; the results, he says, represented a significant deviation
from chance and suggest that when large numbers of people concentrate
on a common event or goal, they can increase the “coherence”
and “order” in the world around them.
But what do these correlations mean? You can correlate the prevalence
of smoking in the 1930’s with church attendance and divorce
rates and draw some patently stupid conclusions about cigarettes
and family values. Radin argues that correlations are only part
of the spectrum of causation. “Some are more or less self-evident,
and some are more complex,” he said. “The emerging view
of complex ecosystems suggests that everything is constantly affecting
everything else.”
The lab lies just down the hall from Radin’s office. There
is equipment everywhere: Geiger counters, random-number generators,
a pair of magnetometers. At any one time, Radin has half a dozen
experiments running. He sat down at the keyboard of a Dell computer,
which was hooked to a Robix robotic arm whose lobsterlike claw dangled
over a red peanut M&M.
“O.K.,” Radin said. “Press ‘return.’
”
I took a seat and hit the return key. Robix began to wheeze and
twitch. At the back of the computer, millions of electrons were
tunneling through two diodes, producing a random stream of ones
and zeros. The computer samples strings of those numbers to create
a Z score, a number representing a degree of deviation from chance.
A low Z score – a low deviation from chance – will keep
the robot arm where it is or reverse its progress. Middling Z scores
will produce only incremental progress. High ones will inspire Robix
to zip past all the intermediate physical positions and, like some
overzealous new employee, snatch up the M&M and drop it into
a little cup. (The M&M is meant to provide some motivation –
participants in the experiment are promised that they can eat it
afterward.) One thousand baseline trials had established that, unobserved,
Robix would complete the job in an average of 25 steps – that
is, it would stop at 25 incrementally different positions before
finishing. Radin told me that it could be done, and had been done
in a run with a human participant, in two steps.
Radin’s hypothesis is that a person’s mental intention
can speed up the delivery of the M&M by pushing the random output
away from chance. How intention might interact with a random flow
of electrons to cause a nonrandom distribution, he doesn’t
know. Nor does anyone else in the field. As you quickly discover
in a parapsychology lab, mental concepts like intention, which seem
so much a part of everyday life – inseparable from getting
out of bed and making coffee and telephoning friends – become
strangely chimerical under scientific scrutiny. Intention is as
hard to measure, as tricky to define, as consciousness itself.
It is not just the foundation under parapsychology that starts
to seem shaky, but the one under all psychological science. Nobody
really understands how your mind’s intention to lift your
arm translates into the arm’s lifting, but that’s not
considered an example of psi phenomena. How do “ideas”
cross from the subjective to the objective? Do they cross? Are there
even “ideas”? Aren’t they “physical”
in the sense that they correspond to states in the brain? This line
of inquiry leads to epiphenomenalism, which considers intention
to be an afterthought, a story the brain tells itself to describe
the actions of the body.
So there you sit, an arguably more colorful zombie than planted
before a zombie with no visible illusions about itself, one of you
trying to project intention onto the other. How? Well, any way you
want, apparently, as long as you don’t hit Robix, which as
you quickly discover, is intensely tempting. Radin encourages participants
to express emotions. I tried some hard frowning, as if Robix were
a child cued to an authoritative face. Shazam! The obedient puppet
plucked and delivered the M&M in 17 steps.
“That’s fast,” Radin said.
I thought of what someone like Sue Blackmore might say –
that if psi is a largely unconscious faculty, as Radin asserts,
why did I have to try to do anything consciously? Couldn’t
a mind-matter interaction be established Justas easily between a
random-number generator and a disembodied kidney?
Maybe Robix was picking up my confusion, because in the second
round it started to equivocate, hovering over the M&M like some
parody Hamlet paralyzed by a bountiful candy rack. I tried yelling
“Come on!” but that was as effective as giving orders
to a cat. Gentle swearing didn’t work, either. Finally, some
truly profane language spurred on desultory progress. The performance
– Robix’s? mine? ours? – was worse than chance:
35 steps. On top of that, Radin said I couldn’t even have
the M&M: it was the last one in the lab.
It is a puckish fate that would post a parapsychologist in Las
Vegas, if only because those who argue that psi is bankrupt often
cite Sin City as exhibit A. If psychokinesis were real, wouldn’t
roulette players be steering the ball to winning numbers?
Unlike most parapsychologists, Radin has actually studied what
he thinks might be psi in the casinos, and why there isn’t
more of it. The simple answer, he says, is that the state of mind
most people attain in a casino isn’t conducive to psi. Radin
lucked into a heap of data last year when Bernice Jaeger, the assistant
general manager of the Continental Casino, called him up. She had
read an article about his work in the U.N.L.V. alumni magazine and
was intrigued by parapsychology – intrigued enough to let
Radin have four years’ worth of the Continental pay-out data.
Radin decided to look at moon-behavior correlations, which some
researchers put stock in and others don’t. To his surprise,
he found that four out of five majot slot-machine jackpots in the
Continental data occurred during a full moon. Looking at the daily
pay-out rates, he found that overall, gamblers did a little better
– about 12 percent – during a full moon.
As Radin saw these correlations, he felt the blood rushing to his
face, and a twinge of nausea. He could already anticipate the objections
to his results. So he worked the data again from the start, but
his second analysis confirmed the first. Was this psi-enhanced performance,
a faculty of the mind enhanced by conditions in nature? He couldn’t
say. Whatever it was, it was subtle, and not all that meaningful
in practical terms: people weren’t beating the house during
the full moon, only having the pleasure of losing a little more
slowly.
Las Vegas, Radin says, is the last place in the world he thought
he would end up. He was born in New York City and spent his early
childhood in Atlanta. He took up the violin, and by age 8, when
the family moved to Springfield, Mass., he was on the prodigy track,
practicing up to three hours a day. “The single word of my
childhood was ‘creativity,’ ” he said. “
‘Do something creative.’ I heard that a hundred thousand
times.”
At 9, he built an abacus-like computer out of jelly beans; at 13,
he stumbled onto C.E.M. Hansels book “ESP: A Scientific Evaluation”
and was struck not by its dismissal of psychic phenomena but by
the revelation that weird stuff could be scientifically studied.
Radin played violin with the Springfield Youth Symphony during high
school, then went on to the University of Massachusetts at Amherst
and then the University of Illinois for his doctorate.
In the late 70’s, a job on the technical staff at AT&T
Bell Labs in Columbus, Ohio, was an experimentalist’s dream.
“Anybody who wanted could do stuff, whatever you liked,”
Radin recalled. He chose a psi experiment. “I wanted to focus
on scientific anomalies because that’s where the history of
science shows that breakthroughs occur.”
He devised some pseudo-random-number generator experiments and
looked in to applied kinesiology. He ran double-blind and triple-blind
trials with 58 adults using vials of sugar and sand and a dynamometer,
which measures a hand’s gripping strength. The results startled
him, and he noted in a report he published that they seemed “preposterous.”
But data were data, and his data showed that people’s muscle
strength decreased significantly when they held vials of sugar.
“Parapsychology,” Radin said, “was the first thing
I ever did that became more interesting the more I looked into it.”
By 1985, he had been recruited to work on Government projects at
S.R.I.
It is fair to say that many parapsychologists have had what could
be called conversion experiences. Radin is not one of them. But
the data continued to speak to him; at S.R.I., he had access not
only to classified Government research in remote viewing but also
to psi literature newly translated from Chinese and Russian journals.
“ Was blown away,” he said. “ I had no idea that
remote viewing could be that good, for real, on real-life targets.
Mainly, I was surprised to see a long list of Department of Defense
and intelligence agencies that had been funding the program for
decades, with the highest level of support in the Government, and
most importantly, the fact that within the agencies there was no
question anymore that the basic phenomena were real. They weren’t
funding for the hell of it – they found the stuff pragmatically
useful.”
In stage 2 of Radin’s four-part formula about adopting new
ideas lies the inevitable question: If this weak effect is real,
what could it possibly be used for? Psychic switches and the like
may turn out to be pipe dreams, and it certainly would be bathetic
if realizing the vision of interconnectedness that has inspired
psychical research since the days of William James had the practical
effect of sucking more zombies into Las Vegas on the full moon.
A number of parapsychologists have been prompted to look at a much
older manifestation of paranormal ability: the various forms of
healing. In medical spheres, the role of the mind is gaining a currency
it seems to have lost elsewhere. If “healers” can change
the physiology of a patient, are they transmitting energy? Is that
an example of bio-psychokinesis?
Radin is open to these and many other possibilities of applied
psi, believing that he recognizes the crossroads where parapsychologists
now stand. “We’re in a period similar to the 1800’s
in classical physics,” he said. “Everything was about
wrapped up then. There were just a few anomalies to explain –
the photoelectric effect, black-body radiation, the anomalies created
by quantum mechanics. Now with quantum mechanics firmly in place,
we’re beginning to understand the implications of non-locality.
Determinism and mechanism and materialism and positivism are starting
to unravel. Unfortunately, there’s not much to replace them
with, and that’s where the crisis lies. The universe looks
less like a big machine than a big thought.”
Before I left Las Vegas, I stopped by the Continental Casino. It
was the night of the new moon, absolutely the worst time to be gambling
according to Radin’s correlations, but you can’t keep
a moth from the flame. The Continental seemed down on its luck,
sad to say, so I drifted into a few other places and finally ran
aground on a roulette table in Bally’s, losing $100 in 10
minutes. I went to a cash machine and floated myself another hundred.
I knew I hadn’t yet found the zone. All performers –
heart surgeons, tennis players, gamblers, clairvoyants – acknowledge
the concept of the zone, of having the feeling that time is slowing
down and that events can be anticipated and that failure is not
possible. But how? Psychokinesis, in some people’s view, is
not a matter of bending reality to your will, but of trying to participate
in it, of cooperating with it as you would with a dance partner.
It was apparent that the rock-faced English croupier at Bally’s
was sick of being asked to dance. Before I knew it, she had taken
another $100 from me. It was at that nadir that merry, curly-haired
Curtis took over the shift. It seemed to me that certain numbers
came up more frequently than they had with Mrs. Stonehenge. It seemed
that he had a pattern and that I could tune into it. I bet on my
hunches, and, lo, a modest tower of chips emerged. Then Mrs. Stonehenge
returned, and my tower shrank. Sure enough, when Curtis returned,
“his” numbers started hitting: 22, 25, 32.
Now it was after midnight, and the rail was crowded with conventioneers.
One guy from New York was betting on 17 and continually losing.
Again and again, he would put three or four chips on the number,
only to see them raked away. “I can’t believe 17 hasn’t
come up,” he cried.
And then he did something dramatic. He moved a giant stack of chips
onto 17. Everyone at the table stared at the stack a moment, then
started leaping in, putting more chips on top of his. I laid two
on 17 and spread a bunch more around it. The corners and sides of
17 vanished under chips, and the chip skyscraper directly atop the
number looked straight out of downtown Singapore.
Curtis gave the ball a whirl.
I don’t know if time slowed down, and I can’t say that
I had any precognitive flash of where the ball would land. I can
say that all the people at the table who had been pursuing separate
strategies were suddenly bound together. We were projecting our
intention as a unit, with much more at stake than a red M&M.
I suppose at some level we were deeply interconnected, our consciousness
massed and struggling to declare itself. And when the ball scrabbled
and hopped and settled, and Curtis, with astonishment in his voice,
called out “17!” a roar went up that rocked the far
ends of the casino.
I later mentioned this incident to Radin. He said that he thought
stuff like this happened all the time and that we saw only the most
dramatic examples of it, when we were paying attention. Maybe it
was psi at work. But how could he be sure? He was a scientist after
all, and doubt was part of his gospel, maybe the foundation of it.
Later, Radin sent me a note. “For years,” he wrote,
“I’ve thought about the question ‘Am I fooling
myself?’ And I know the same issue has been thought about
by my colleagues. Are we seeing things that simply aren’t
there? I’ve reached the conclusion that I am not, although
it is an ever-present danger that I pay attention to because I’m
well aware of the psychological blinders we all wear.”
In truth, I don’t know why the ball landed on 17 on that
turn of the wheel. If I had to take an official postion, I would
say that the number just came up, that it was just luck. Off the
record, I think maybe not; I think maybe we helped. I only know
that the synchronicity, if that’s what it was, abruptly ceased
when Curtis began to chatter about all the U.F.O.’s he had
seen in the Nevada desert. There’s nothing like extra-terrestrial
phenomena to bring you back to earth. It was time to cash out. My
net for the night was 30 hard-won dollars. I walked back to my motel,
drinking the cool air and the desert smell of sage. The money was
a paltry sum, but it felt like more somehow, as if it had been stolen
from the moon.
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